DATA ANALYSIS & CONCLUSIONS
One thing we know is except for La Liga, all the leagues have a positive trend. Now, examining Goals-Per-Game
data based on the factors will be helping us understand the interactions better together with numbers, and the main
question is what affects the goals the most?
Premier League(GB1) consistently showed a higher than average (2.65) goal rate except for a slight dip in
2014/15 (2.56), together with a record-breaking 3.27 goals/game in 2023/24. And this period coincided with
massive investments (€23 billion transfer spending(265% rise from 2013!, 79% revenue growth and foreign-
ownership increase) and therefore we can think economics played a role in this rise, but we should not forget that
the tactics(more attacking) and increased goal distribution are even more important, my data analysis project
concludes. As we will be diving into the other leagues, my analysis will be proved further.
La Liga(ES1) peaked significantly in 2016/17(2.94), alongside of the prime years of Messi and Ronaldo, and was
higher than the average goal rate but followed notable decline from 2017/18 onwards only to return to the
average line in 2023/2024 season, despite the most revenue growth (+83% revenue) and more than 8 billion
spending(the 3 most). This shift marks my argument about tactics and goal distribution rather than economical
numbers.
rd
Serie A(IT1) jointly highest with La Liga until 2017/18, peaking in 2020/2021 with 3.06, experienced the biggest
fluctuations, having the most stable trend line overall, and was the only league to be affected the most with key
players(2016/2017) Its slight decline and subsequent stabilization reflect tactical adaptations after high-profile
player movements, despite substantial financial spending,€10.8 billion(the 2 most).
nd
Bundesliga(L1), uniquely the only one to be below the 2.65 threshold all the time, experienced a sustained rise
post-2018/19, only to peak at 2.59 in 2023/2024. The careful financial model (€7.2 billion spent, the least spent in
big 5, and moderate deficit) and limited foreign influence (RB Leipzig exception) correlate again with gradual but
consistent tactical developments leading to higher scoring.
Ligue 1(FR1) demonstrated significant change: rising steadily until 2017/18 for 5 seasons consecutively, then
dropping until 2020/21, before rebounding and dropping slightly again in 2023/2024(the only league to not rise in
that season). Had 2 peak seasons with 2.80 (20/21 and 21/22).Despite financial dominance by PSG (€1.9 billion
spent), it's notable for being the second least spender and having the only positive net transfer balance ,
emphasize tactics before economy, yet once again.